Posts

Buyers Return

Image
The gap down at the start of the week is still the dominant pattern but today helped stabilize the losses. Indices did have support to work with, the Dow in particular is still trading inside its channel. The Dow has been chugging along channel support with today's buying registering as accumulation. The MACD is on a trigger 'sell' along with a 'sell' trigger in the ADX.

Recovery from Yesterday's Gaps; Nasdaq and Dow at Channel Support

Image
Well, it has been two days since the last post and yesterday's open started with a big gap down which started the day for the S&P below channel support (and the prospective buying opportunity), but has now left the Nasdaq in a possible buying opportunity. For the S&P, the gap down may have been enough for value buyers but the break effectively kills the rally and likely starts a new sideways consolidation. The MACD trigger 'sell' expanded with a new 'sell' trigger in the ADX.

Small Caps Break Support

Image
Not since September of last year have we seen a selling day like Friday's. Hardest hit of the indices was the Russell 2000 as it broke below support of its rising channel. It remains above breakout support of $158s, but with new 'sell' triggers for the MACD, On-Balance-Volume and ADX. Relative performance versus the Nasdaq has been in freefall since mid-December and Friday's action didn't help. However, the weekly chart is the one to watch if you are holding long, and with 20- and 50-week MAs running closely aligned there is support to work with.

Small losses on light volume

Image
A slow start after MLK day led to minor losses for markets. Technicals remain positive with the S&P enjoying a sharp uptick against Small Caps which experienced a loss (although not a great loss).  Indices remain defined inside existing rising channels, or in the case of the Nasdaq, just above. The lack of a significant loss in the S&P helped keep the indices inside their narrow channel.

Nasdaq Accelerate Rally

Image
The Nasdaq is accelerating through channel resistance as relative performance continues its run of good form. Technicals are all good as Friday's action registered as accumulation.

Small Caps Make Hay

Image
It was another good day for indices with Small Caps taking the title as "Index of the Day". Small Caps have been feeling a little left out as 2020 rolled in (based on relative performance to Tech and Large Cap Indices), but today saw some of this lost ground returned. The Russell 2000 (through the $IWM ETF) still has to reverse the MACD 'sell' and it will need more than a few days of gains to reverse the relative underperformance. Volume was a little light, but this can build if these gains continue.

Friday's losses reverse with Nasdaq acceleration kicking off

Image
The week started brightly, although buying volume was light. However, the Nasdaq is looking to accelerate its rally as today's gain pushes against channel resistance. Given broad technical strength I would look to see a break by the end of the week.

Archive

Show more