Tuesday, July 17, 2018

S&P Firms Breakout As Tech Keep The Pressure On

Given overnight news and Netflix disappointment I was surprised to see markets finish as strong as they did given comments on the economy by the Fed Chairman.

The S&P opened at support and 'engulfed' the prior day's trading; it's not a true bullish engulfing pattern as this is a reversal pattern and what we have is a breakout but it does contribute to a confirmation of the breakout.

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Sunday, July 15, 2018

Week Finishes in Tech and Large Caps Favour

Large Caps and Tech indices enjoyed a good week with breakouts holding by Friday's close. There was no real volume on the breakouts but new highs leave markets in a position to attract sideline money.

The S&P didn't do a whole lot on Friday but it remains on course to test channel resistance. Technicals are all in the green and the previous period of underperformance against the Russell 2000 looks to have shifted back in Large Caps favour.

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Thursday, July 12, 2018

Tech Indices Ignore Semiconductor Weakness to Breakout

Tech Indices are not waiting on the Semiconductor Index aa both the Nasdaq and Nasdaq 100 closed at new all-time highs. The Nasdaq 100 had the best response with a clear breakout. This move accelerated the relative advance against the Russell 2000 setting things up nicely for a challenge of upper channel resistance.

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Wednesday, July 11, 2018

Markets Stumble As June Highs Challenged

It was by no means a disaster but there was an ominous feel to Wednesday's close. Bulls had used the momentum built by last week's gains to make a run at all-time highs but profit takers and shorts used this as an opportunity to get out/build a position. It's a typical stage I reaction to a resistance test but now it's a question if there is enough sideline interest from bulls to drive a break to new all-time highs and force today's shorts to cover.

The S&P left a small 'bull trap' on low volume. Technicals are net bullish so if bulls can come back and reverse the 'bull trap' it would nicely set up a run to test newly drawn channel resistance. But for now, shorts look favoured.

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