Thursday, February 04, 2016

Pause in Action

Small Gains as indecision held sway. The S&P finished inside the range of last Friday's breakout and held rising support, but the index did the minimum to pacify bulls.

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Wednesday, February 03, 2016

Afternoon Recovery Creates New Spike Lows

Better stuff from bulls as early selling quickly gave way to fresh buying. Best of the action belonged to the Russell 2000 with a bullish cross in the relative performance with the Nasdaq and its 20-day MA. The Russell 2000 is also clinging to a support level and maintaining the 'Bear Trap'.

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Tuesday, February 02, 2016

Bears Test Buyers Resolve

Last Friday saw a big swing in bulls favor as shorts were forced into covering and value players stepped in to buy the positive reaction to the swing low. Shorts look to have made a tentative return of the market as value buyers failed to follow through on Friday's action.  Volume climbed to register as distribution, but it was well down on Friday's accumulation.

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Monday, February 01, 2016

Early Selling Rebuffed

Healthy Action in today's markets as early selling was outdone by afternoon buying. The respectable close will help build confidence of buyers, at least until the November-December trading range is challenged.

For the S&P. 2,000 looms overhead, but until this is challenged there is little to add.

The Nasdaq closed near today's highs as it sits on the verge of  a new On-Balance-Volume 'buy' trigger.

The Russell 2000 had only a small gain, but it has the most work to do to rebuild confidence.  On the positive front, it's close to a 'buy' trigger in On-Balance-Volume.

Another index doing well is the Semiconductor Index. It registered nearly a 1% gain as it looks to recover 2016 losses. Supply doesn't become a concern until 650 is reached.

Tomorrow is a chance for bulls to kick on and put further distance on the recent swing low.. Not much more to add until then. Buyers can now look with greater confidence to accumulate pull backs. Shorts will likely be waiting on a test of November-December swing lows.

You've now read my opinion, next read Douglas' and Jani's.

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Dr. Declan Fallon is the Senior Market Technician and Community Director for, and Product Development Manager for I also trade on eToro and can be copied for free.

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