Wednesday, March 29, 2017

Rally Slows But Not Dead

The Swing Low continues to play out with small gains in lead markets. There is still resistance in play, but this supply is been consumed by the day. Trading volume was light too.

The S&P is at resistance from the March swing low, but today's gain did little to get past this. Stochastics are bullish, but other technicals are negative and the last two days of didn't change this.  While bears may think there is an angle to work, the most likely outcome is for a gain which returns a challenge of 2,400.

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Tuesday, March 28, 2017

Rallies Come Through

Bulls were able to deliver across the board gains, helping to position yesterday's action as a swing low. Weakness at this point would offer itself as a buying opportunity, but markets wouldn't tolerate more than a couple of days of losses if they were to go down this route.

The S&P is at resistance of the prior swing low and the 20-day MA, but today's action is looking good for an upside break tomorrow? Technicals are firmly in the red and need more than today's gain to fix them.

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Monday, March 27, 2017

Mixed bag of tricks; but good chance of market swing lows

The damage was done premarket and value buyers were quick to take advantage. The index which benefited the most was the Nasdaq. It started today just above the 50-day MA and rallied off that. Volume wasn't great and the technical picture didn't really improve, but action like today's can prove to be a good starting point for a swing low.

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Sunday, March 26, 2017

Semiconductor Index Again At Resistance

All indices were again testing resistance with small gains, but not enough to challenge a break of supply. Shorts have been presented an avenue of opportunity in the Semiconductor Index with a bearish black candlestick at the convergence of the former rising channel, and the hashed blue line connecting the swing highs dating back to December.  Technicals are a little scrappy, but there is still a MACD trigger 'sell' alongside a 'sell' trigger in CCI.

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