Monday, September 25, 2017

Can Tech Breakouts Occur From Here?

The squeeze set-up from last week which offered bulls a likely breakout has now fallen back inside the prior consolidation. Bulls now have a decision to make; do they defend the rising channel? Or let prices drift lower and risk a seller capitulation. A channel break at this stage would be very concerning and would open moves to test the June and August swing lows along with the 200-day MA - each a long way from current levels; in addition, a loss of the August swing low would effectively confirm a double-top.


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Sunday, September 24, 2017

Russell 2000 Hits Its Target

Friday delivered the upside target of 1,450 I was looking for in the Russell 2000. Next will be some follow through in line with the S&P and Dow breakouts, but this will require a resistance break which will be harder than a resistance tag. Technicals are healthy and relative strength is working strongly in Small Caps favour.


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Thursday, September 21, 2017

Tech Trades Squeeze Stops; Russell 2000 Approaches Resistance

There is a bit of an overreach on today's action as the level of loss was light. However, the much-anticipated breakouts in the Nasdaq and Nasdaq 100 look like they will have to wait a little longer. Both Tech indices saw the squeeze put on tight long stops, but not enough to suggest a panic sell-off is imminent. However, any sell-off has to be watched; losses below the 50-day MA would be concerning.


The Nasdaq 100 is looking a little more vulnerable with the MACD trigger 'sell' and +DI/-DI sell' trigger. Look to this index for leads.


The index which has been offering the low-key opportunity for bulls is the Russell 2000. It fell just 2 points shy of the 1,450 target I'm looking for, but no reason to suggest it can't make this tomorrow.  Technicals remain healthy.


As a footnote, the S&P and Dow did little worthy of attention. Breakouts remain intact and Technicals are sound.


For tomorrow, it's a watch-and-wait scenario for Tech indices. The Russell 2000 remains a hold with perhaps partial profits for longs - the potential for a break of 1,450 is good.

You've now read my opinion, next read Douglas' blog.

I trade a small account on eToro, and invest using Ameritrade. If you would like to join me on eToro, register through the banner link and search for "fallond".

If you are new to spread betting, here is a guide on position size based on eToro's system.


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Dr. Declan Fallon is a blogger who trades for fun on eToro and can be copied for free.
. I invest in my pension fund as a buy-and-hold.
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Tuesday, September 19, 2017

Minor Changes: Yesterday's and Weekend Comments Remain Valid

I don't want to overplay today's action as little changed in the broader scheme of things. Days like today are welcomed and help shape up swing trades for those trading in near term timeframes.

The tight doji in the S&P could be used for a swing trade; buy a break of the high/short loss of low - stop on flip side. High whipsaw risk but look for 3:1 risk:reward and maybe trail stops if deciding to go with partial profits.


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