There was little doubt about who was in control of markets today. Sellers swooped in across markets but it was the Russell 2000 which took the worst of it.
There was a brief attempt to recover the 200-day MA, but aside from that it was sellers all the way. Volume rose to register as distribution, adding to the malaise in the market. Technicals are net negative, but stochastics are oversold and a rebound is not far off.
Not the best of starts for the Russell 2000 as the opening gap higher drifted back into a lower close. The finish was still enough to register support of the 200-day MA, but as long as sellers keep feeding piranha style on the carcass it will struggle to recover. The index did enough to hold on to the 200-day MA but technicals remain net negative but stochastics are not yet oversold.
Holiday trading rarely marks the start of a major trend change as junior traders look after desks until their bosses return from the holiday. But bosses won't be happy with the shift their minions have put in over the Thanksgiving weekend. Last Wednesday's gains do feel like a long time ago.
The Russell 2000 is the barometer for the broader market. It really has no more room for maneuver as the index gapped down to its 200-day MA with technicals net bearish. Relative performance has also moved sharply against it relative to the Nasdaq and S&P. Volume climbed to register as distribution, adding to the misery. After waiting so long for the breakout in 2021, the index now finds itself looking in the other direction.
Indices pushed to reverse yesterday's losses with respectable gains. Best of the indices was the Russell 2000. Despite been unable to hold breakout support it has managed to defend its 50-day MA - at least for now. Technicals, aside from stochastics [39,1], are bearish - but those intermediate time frame stochastics are finally at a level where swing low support typically kicks in for an asset in a bull market. This confluence of support might be the recipe to save Small Caps and put a stop to the selling.
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