Wednesday, July 01, 2020

Nasdaq Moves To Challenge "Gravestone Doji" High

The Nasdaq has been leading indices throughout 2020, even the sell-off caused by Covid19 was not as bad as was inflicted on the Russell 2000 or S&P. The latest gains are challenging the most recent swing high which was marked by a "gravestone doji" in addition to building on the break of 10,000. On-Balance-Volume is leading the indicators with a strong accumulation trend. 


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Monday, June 29, 2020

Buyers attempt to defend support

Sellers had managed to push indices back to support levels where buyers are looking to make a stand.  

The S&P is down at the June swing low which is also the 50-day MA. Technicals are a mix of bullish and bearish signals; the index is still underperforming against Small Caps. Selling volume in recent weeks has sided heavily with bears but On-Balance-Volume hasn't yet switched to a 'sell' trigger.  This is as good as place as any to stage a bounce and take on a low risk trade. 


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Sunday, June 28, 2020

Markets ease back from breakouts

The week ended for markets with sellers in control. The damage was sufficient to put markets on warning for a bearish reversal - but the last such attempt in early June was quickly reversed by buyers; will this time be different?

The Nasdaq lost its breakout with a drop below 10,000 and support of 9,800. Part of this move also undercut its 20-day MA. Volume rose in confirmed distribution in one of the heaviest trading days of the year not attributable to options expiration. An effective flat-lined MACD switched to a 'sell' trigger, so this is vulnerable to whipsaw as other technicals remain firmly bullish. 


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Wednesday, June 24, 2020

Sellers Take Control

The Nasdaq had been the lead index as it posted new all-time (post-Covid19) highs, but today's selling followed yesterday's bearish gravestone doji; collectively, it looks like a bearish evening star. The only thing remaining is breakout support, which has yet to be violated. Selling volume was down on yesterday's buying so it wasn't all in bears favor.


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