Showing posts from June, 2024

Russell 2000 ($IWM) rushes out of the gates at its own expense

There was a bit of a mixed bag from markets since my last update. The Russell 2000 ($IWM) burst out of the bag on Monday's bullish setup but most of the action was premarket, and by the time the market opened it was in decline. This continued into Thursday with the resulting closure of the breakout gap. However, because all of this occurred inside the trading range, its significance - and the potential for a bullish bounce tomorrow - is reduced.

Nasdaq and S&P at new highs

It was a good day for indices as both the Nasdaq and S&P managed to finish at new highs. Gains in the Nasdaq were enough to reverse the 'sell' trigger in On-Balance-Volume, returning the index to a net bullish technical picture.

Markets to see a slow start the week following Friday's indecision

Markets closed the week on a bit of a conundrum. The trend for the S&P and Nasdaq has been solidly bullish since the lows of 2022, but people (myself included) are still looking for the negatives; markets "climbing the wall of worry." Friday's closed expressed that indecision with the doji finish at highs for the Nasdaq and S&P. There was aslo a doji/spinning top candlestick in the Russell 2000 ($IWM), but as that occurred well inside its trading range it carries less significance. The S&P has run into a little psychological resistance around 5,350, but the selling volume that accompanied Friday's doji was light and probably had more to say about apathy, that any real concern on the part of bulls. Technicals still hold to a net bullish picture, the MACD trigger 'buy' the most recent signal moving in buyers favor. The only oddity is the sharp relative underperformance to the Nasdaq, that again, should be viewed as bullish in the larger context of

S&P and Nasdaq surge as Russell 2000 remains range bound

I'm giving day trading a go and with hindsight, today should have been an "easy" profit day, but the volatility swing on today's economic data threw me off and I missed the big gains in the S&P and Nasdaq; registering a loss for the day. However, as an investor, today was great news. I would like to see more from the Russell 2000 ($IWM), but the Nasdaq made up for it. There wasn't a whole lot of volume to go with the buying, but if today's moves can stick then this shouldn't matter. The Nasdaq is doing all the heavy lifting, and for now, the surge in relative performance should attract fresh money. Technicals are net bullish with new 'buy' signals in the MACD and On-Balance-Volume and a +DI/-DI bullish switch.

Big Bearish Engulfing Pattern in Russell 2000 ($IWM)

Tricky times for markets as today's trading marked a bearish push back to Friday's late day recovery. In the Russell 2000 ($IWM), a significant gap higher was quickly undone by through-the-day selling. Technicals for the index are mixed; On-Balance-Volume and +DI/-DI are on recent 'buy' signals with stochastics above the bullish mid-line. However, the index is underperforming relative to the Nasdaq, and is on a weak MACD 'sell' trigger (weak, because the signal occurred above the bullish zero line). Weakness in the Russell 2000 is worrisome because of its role in trend leadership.


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