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Showing posts from September, 2019

Markets Extend Losses

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Friday belonged to Bears as sellers finished the week in control but bulls still have support to lean on in the shape of moving averages. The S&P is leaning on the 50-day MA with 'sell' triggers in the MACD, On-Balance-Volume, and ADX, although relative performance ticked up against the Russell 2000. Volume rose in confirmed distribution. Monday is a fresh chance for bulls to recover the losses.

Yesterday's Losses Reverse

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After yesterday's losses today was the turn of moving averages to step in as support. Action for the last couple of days does look like washout trading to shake out weak-holding longs The Russell 2000 suffered the most on Tuesday but did well to attract buyers at its converged 50-day and 20-day MAs. While today's buying was good it wasn't enough to prevent a MACD trigger 'sell'.

Steadying the ship

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There wasn't a whole lot to today's action aside from reaffirming the consolidation action in lead indices. Trading volume returned to normal after Friday's Triple Witching. For the S&P there was a bullish cross between the 50-day MA and 20-day MA as the narrow consolidation near resistance stretched into a second week.

Triple Witching Skews Selling Volume

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Friday's witching volume came with resistance selling, but the extent of the damage remains to be seen for most indices as range trading remains satisfied. Biggest damage was done to the Semiconductor Index as the challenge of the 'bull' trap failed, broadening range resistance to 1,625. It could be another few weeks before we talking breakout here.

Markets Tease Follow Through But Are Not There Yet

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It's looking ever more likely that current consolidations experienced by markets will resolve to the upside with new breakouts. However, markets are taking their time before doing so. The S&P closed with a 'gravestone' doji just below 3,025 resistance. Typically, this is a bearish candlestick but given volume was significantly lighter then it's more likely to become part of a consolidation; one, which leads to an eventual breakout.

Semiconductors Find Support

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Another good day for Semiconductors after the attack on the 'bull trap' found support at breakout support; this will help the Nasdaq and Nasdaq 100. There was a 'sell' trigger in the CCI, but other technicals are bullish and relative performance is very strong. This is also bullish for the economy.

Markets Poised Heading Into Next Week

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While Small Caps stole the show last week it may be the time for Large Caps to step up to the plate. Leading the charge is the S&P. The index is sitting just below resistance after ending the week just shy of a break of 3,025. Technicals are net bullish, which should help. Despite two sequential doji, volume was lower on the down day, which is bullish.

Russell 2000 Makes Big Gains; Semiconductors Challenge 'Bull Trap'

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A big day for bulls as two key economically sensitive indices make strong moves. Best of the action was given over to the Russell 2000; a 3.5% gain keeps things buoyant but it's also smack bang in the middle of the trading range.

Bulls Recover Intraday Losses

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While the indices finished at prices without fanfare, the intraday recovery was very good.  The S&P spiked down to its 20-day and 50-day MA with a bullish hammer. Volume climbed to register as accumulation. Technicals remain net bullish although relative performance eased.

Friday Consolidates Gains For The Week

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There wasn't a whole lot to say about Friday's trading. The solid move made over the course of the week across indices was maintained with either small losses or doji.  Part of this is because indices are now approaching multi-year highs which will see increased resistance. The S&P posted a small doji as technicals remained net bullish.

Bullish Confidence in Small Caps

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Again, anything said here should be viewed in the context of broader consolidations. Leading off is the consolidation breakout in the Russell 2000. I did have concerns the 'bear trap' was about to fail but today's move has helped reduced the risk of this happening. There were some struggles as it reached its 200-day MA but this did at least postpone (indefinitely?) the chance of the 'bear trap' failing.

Quiet Day Although Russell 2000 Pressured

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There wasn't a whole lot to say for Tuesday; indices were down, but there was little to add aside from the Russell 2000 returning to key consolidation support. The 'bear trap' will likely be coming under pressure later in the week.

Dow Jones Industrial Index Edges Breakout as Russell 2000 Reverses Off Resistance

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There wasn't a whole lot to report from Friday with all indices inside dominant consolidation indices. Best of the action belonged to the Dow Industrial Average as it broke out of its mini-consolidation, nested inside its 2-year consolidation. Again, the larger consolidation is dominant, so the significance of Friday's action is reduced. There are existing 'buy' signals for the MACD trigger and On-Balance-Volume but longer term stochastics are still in bearish territory

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