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Sellers Control Friday's Action - But Monday Will Be The Real Test

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All indices suffered selling on Friday, although selling volume was light, but given the Trump announcement after the Friday close it's hard to see anything but selling on Monday. The context to the selling will be a bounce that has struggled to reach the highs of August. Traders who were waiting for a retest of August highs before selling may find themselves doing this sooner. The lead in candlesticks to Monday will not help the mood. The Nasdaq looks to have finished with a bearish 'evening' start reversal. The 'buy' signal in the MACD, On-Balance-Volume and ADX are still intact, but I doubt all will survive by Monday's close. The 50-day MA is also support (for now). Stochatics are firmly on the bearish side of the divide (anything below 50 is bear market land). The index has also returned to a period of underpeformance relative to the Russell 2000. 

Markets attempt to rally but fall short by the close

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It was looking good for the indices in early m the day, but by the close indices weren't able to hold on to their gains. However, all indices finished in positive territory and any (small) upside tomorrow would likely be sufficient to maintain momentum. The Nasdaq closed today with a 'buy' trigger in the MACD and ADX, along with a 'buy' trigger in On-Balance-Volume.The Nasdaq is outperforming the Russell 2000 and while it has enjoyed just over a week's worth of gains it has so far resisted the initial move to the measured target. 

Bounce stalls despite morning gaps

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Friday's rally offered a promising open with a gap higher, but there was no follow through on these gains.  In the case of the Nasdaq, there was a close above the 50-day which also picked up the 20-day MA but if the gap is to register as a true 'breakout gap' it cannot close. There was  a 'buy' trigger in OBV to go with today's gain. The index is still outperforming Small Caps as it looks to build on its leadership role as the primary home for funds. 

S&P Bounces At Measured Move Target

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An easy headline which has played out as true, although the same bounce occurred in the Nasdaq well before the measured move target is reached. In the case of the S&P, the measured move target is above the 200-day MA - a typical support level and a more likely area for a bounce - so it remains to be seen if this bounce will hold but it does provide a level to set protective stops (for existing positions in the S&P and member stocks). Note, technicals are all net negative and aren't really in support of a bounce, with the exception of short term and intermediate stochastics which have converged at an oversold state. 

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