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Semiconductors Index Breakout but Dow at Channel Resistance as Small Caps Breakdown

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Lots of divergences in play across the markets. Start with the positives, the Semiconductor Index edged above resistance in what looks like breakout. It lost ground Friday which suggests it may still require a redrawing of resistance if this is some form of rising channel. However, in the near term, this looks like a genuine breakout and look for a move to triangle resistance.

Markets Diverge; Small Caps Lag as Large Caps Make the Running

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After weeks of relatively tight trading markets stretched their legs today. The S&P took advantage of yesterday's gap to squeeze shorts on higher volume accumulation. Today's gain hasn't quite tagged channel resistance but did register as accumulation. Technicals are all bullish along with an acceleration in relative performance over Small Caps. Large Caps to lead into the Fall?

Bulls Take The Day's Honors

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While bulls shrugged off the latest Trump missive there was no reversal in markets to change their prior directions with one exception. The Semiconductor Index is still clinging on to 1,380 resistance but today's close posted a bullish hammer with a spike low at the 50-day MA. Expectations for tomorrow would be a rally break of the latter resistance and a push to triangle resistance.

No Change; Breakouts Hold for Large Caps and Techs - Small Caps Struggle

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Friday didn't bring a change in markets as the S&P, Nasdaq and Nasdaq 100 held their breakouts while the S&P struggled to negate its double top. The S&P lost a little ground but remains well above breakout support. The biggest loss was seen in relative performance but only because the index has suffered an extended period of relative decline and had only begun to reverse that.

Small Caps Enjoy Best of Action

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There wasn't a whole lot going on today except Small Caps were able to attract some buyers despite finishing below resistance; bulls have been taking advantage of the 20-day MA test. Today's action coincided with 'buy' signals in the MACD and +DI/-DI.

S&P Firms Breakout As Tech Keep The Pressure On

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Given overnight news and Netflix disappointment I was surprised to see markets finish as strong as they did given comments on the economy by the Fed Chairman. The S&P opened at support and 'engulfed' the prior day's trading; it's not a true bullish engulfing pattern as this is a reversal pattern and what we have is a breakout but it does contribute to a confirmation of the breakout.

Week Finishes in Tech and Large Caps Favour

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Large Caps and Tech indices enjoyed a good week with breakouts holding by Friday's close. There was no real volume on the breakouts but new highs leave markets in a position to attract sideline money. The S&P didn't do a whole lot on Friday but it remains on course to test channel resistance. Technicals are all in the green and the previous period of underperformance against the Russell 2000 looks to have shifted back in Large Caps favour.

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