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Russell 2000 Breaks Range Support

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It didn't happen today, but the Russell 2000 didn't waste any time losing 1,500 support. With technicals oversold there is a chance this could evolve into a larger crash but other indices aren't showing the level of weakness which could offer this scenario.  Not surprisingly, relative weakness ticked lower despite its recent relative strength.

Distribution Sweeps Markets

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Traders returned from the Memorial weekend in selling mood. Indices, already net bearish technically, suffered further losses on higher volume distribution. The S&P is on course to test its 200-day MA, although relative performance continued to accelerate against its Russell 2000, which will be a cold comfort for current longs, but may be enough to prevent losses from getting too bad.

Russell 2000 Defends Support

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Friday was a bit of a mixed bag. The Russell 2000 was able to defend horizontal support as it continues to build a sideways pattern. While it trades sideways it will keep other indices in check until there is a confirmed directional turn - either a break of current support (for bears) or a rally back to, then beyond 1,615 resistance. With the Russell 2000 caught inside a trading range, the breakdowns in the S&P and Nasdaq are caught in a bit of a no-mans land. As the Russell 2000 failed to break its support, both the S&P and Nasdaq are vulnerable; not just to additional losses, but also to a 'bear trap' and a rally through their respective consolidation triangles. While the Russell 2000 defending support, Semiconductors are heading in the other direction with an undercut of the 200-day MA. Further losses in this index will drag the Nasdaq and Nasdaq 100 with them. Finally, the relationship between Transports and the Dow Jones Index continued to struggl

S&P and Nasdaq Breakdown

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Today's losses ranked as a breakdown of the consolidation triangle in the S&P and Nasdaq. Volume climbed to register as distribution for both indices. Technicals are already net bearish.The one caveat is the surge in relative performance of the S&P against the Russell 2000.

No change part 2

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With Trump Trade Wars in full swing, markets were remarkably sanguine. It's still a mixed bag of bullish potential in the Russell 2000 and bearish malaise in the Semiconductor Index. Having said that, it wasn't a great day in the Russell 2000. The Russell 2000 gave back most of yesterday's gain and is set for a push below 1,521. If this happens it will set up for a new swing low and confirm a new channel trend lower.  Technicals do not inspire as it also lost relative ground against the S&P.

No change as Markets trade within a range

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Markets made minor gains, but the action of the last few days has not managed to clear the consolidations created near the moving averages. In the case of the S&P, the index is trading around the 50-day MA. Volume was lighter on the upside but technicals are net bearish but not oversold. If this is to be a swing low there isn't much room for maneuver and bulls need to follow through higher over the next few days.

Indices Rebuffed at Moving Averages

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Friday saw indices turned at moving averages after Thursday's tests. Volume was light, so it may be a mix of profit taking and some aggressive shorts. In the case of the S&P, the bounce in the market was not enough to reverse the bearish technicals and may have even pushed them into a shorting zone. The 50-day MA is acting as resistance. On the plus side, there is a continued advance in relative performance against the Russell 2000.

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