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Bounce sees markets challenge moving averages

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Since the Tariff sell off markets have managed to pull themselves back to the moving averages broken by that sell off. Buyers of the bounce off the 200-day MA in the Dow Jones Average are sitting pretty with another 100 points on offer before the 50-day MA is tested. Volume is light and technicals are mixed, but there has been a recovery 'buy' trigger in On-Balance-Volume.

Technical Damage Across Markets

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The to-and-fro of the US-Chinese trade war has left markets in a bit of a grey zone and facing uncertainty after holding moving average support. The S&P undercut its 50-day MA on higher volume distribution, but it also came back with a relative performance improvement. Technicals are net bearish.

Yesterday's losses remain dominant

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Today's action was relatively tight and held inside the range of yesterday's losses. While losses weren't great, the Russell 2000 did suffer the most of lead indices. Having said that, converged 20-day, 50-day and 200-day MAs remain support, although the MACD switched to a 'sell' trigger. Even if this support is lost the likelihood of a trading range emerging off the 1,494 swing low is still quite high.

Russell 2000 Continues to Perform Well

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The morning gap down on Chinese trade war fears was painted over by some decent buying action over the course of the day. Best of the action was reserved for the Russell 2000, which is now starting to outperform the S&P and Nasdaq; this is good news for bulls for all indices. Technicals are in good shape but I would like to see the MACD expand upwards.

Market rallies slow with trend breaks but Small Caps find support

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Shorts may think they have their reversal but the last such break in March quickly reversed higher. Volume was light even though technicals weakened with MACD 'sell' triggers for key indices. The S&P has started to see its MACD trigger line accelerate lower after weeks of flat-line behaviour. The S&P has also switched to a point of underperformance against the Russell 2000; this is bullish for the broader market even if it's bad news for the S&P in the near term.

Solid finish on higher volume

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There wasn't much to today's action but for what there was, it was positive - better again in the face of Google's disappointing earnings (revenue miss). The S&P barely registered a gain but with the index a couple of points shy of all-time highs it can be forgiven. Volume was sufficient to register as accumulation.

Small Caps Ready to Pop as Indices Gain

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The S&P maintained bullish pressure with a small gain, a gain sufficient to mark a new closing high.  Technicals are generally bullish, although the MACD has flat-lined.

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