Posts

Markets Continue To Map Swing Lows

Image
A solid day for indices as markets continued the good work from Friday. Even the Dow Jones was able to firm up a potential 'bullish morning star' sequence.  There is still work to do but this looks better for bulls with anyone considering a short trade lacking a natural point of attack (yet).

Swing Low in Russell 2000?

Image
It was a strong finish for markets as they clawed back some of the early week losses. Some indices do look better than others and could offer bulls the opportunity they need into next week. Best of these could be the Russell 2000. The index left a picture perfect 'tweezer bottom' which has the potential to morph into a swing low.  If true then the index should push beyond 1,564 with little difficulty before challenging 1,615; risk is measured against a loss of 1,495.

Sellers Double Down

Image
Yesterday established a round of profit-taking after Monday's breakouts had suggested something more positive in the works. Unfortunately, another round of selling ranking as higher volume distribution left indices in a more precarious state. The Semiconductor Index had come close to tagging 1,400 but the index looks to have confirmed a bearish 'evening' star as part of a double top. A drop below 1,340 would send bulls running to the hills and open up tests of the slower rising channel and 200-day MA.

Fresh Distribution

Image
Yesterday saw sellers return with a fresh round of higher volume selling. However, the breakout moves which saw indices clear the congestion of spike highs from last week were not violated so Tuesday's action will not as yet panicked existing longs or buyers of the February swing low to sell just yet. The only exception to this is the Russell 2000 which is struggling to achieve any kind of market leadership. Technicals for the S&P are generally bullish with the index still outperforming the Russell 2000 and the ADX just a small step away from a bullish cross which would be enough to confirm a net bullish picture on the intermediate time frame (i.e. suggesting this rally could go on for another few months).

Archive

Show more