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Relief Rally Approaches Resistance

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Wednesday's gap created a significant reversal, stalling the mini-rallies kicked off in April. Thursday and Friday generated some come back against last week's loss, bringing many of the markets back to the highs of the gap down. The S&P is in a position where shorts may look to attack the gap. Friday's spike high put itself inside the gap, recovering the 50-day MA in the process. This gain was supported by a 'buy' trigger in On-Balance-Volume. While shorts might have the better risk:reward option, a move above 2,389 opens up for a retest of 2,405.

...And Then Things Went Pear Shaped

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After days of steady gains, it was surprising to see the level of selling on show today; the last day like today in the markets was last December. How today plays out in the long term is still up for grabs as key trading ranges haven't been breached. Shorts will be watching for opportunities, but what followed last December was another kick start for the rally - bulls have a reason for optimism. The biggest reversal was in the Semiconductor Index. Yesterday's 1.5% gain was whipped by a 4.4% loss. The attempt to break out of the rising channel was snapped away, putting the breakout gap from last week under pressure.

Semiconductors Keep on Rolling

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It was generally a quiet day for the indices but the Semiconductor Index added another 1.5% as money continued to flow into Semiconductors. Today's gain leaves the index up against resistance and ready to breakout.

Semiconductor Index Post Follow On Gains

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While not one of the primary indices, Semiconductors experienced a strong day of gains - backed by strong technicals. This index is well on its way to shaping a new rally for 2017, following through from the rally kicked off on Trump's election. Bulls have their index to follow for the summer.

Small Caps See More Aggressive Selling

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Trump's Russian shenanigans didn't move the market as much as such actions in the past may have done but not all markets escaped such interest. The Russell 2000 took the brunt of Friday's selling.  The 'bear flag' off former support, now resistance, followed through lower to bring the index back to a flat-lined 50-day MA.  Technicals are mixed with 'sell' triggers in the MACD and +DI/-DI. Relative performance accelerated lower after months of underperformance. Small Caps are key bull market leaders but there has been a distinct lack of interest from buyers for the last 6 months and this is not good news for other markets.

Underwhemling Response to French Election Results

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It was probably too much to ask for an election result which is closer to maintaining the 'old' status quo than spark anything radical. However, it does offer continuity for markets which should prove favorable down the road. While there was little reaction to the result, markets continue to maintain their bullish stance. The S&P is above its trading range and holding its breakout with a narrow doji. Volume remained light in line with Friday's.

Rallies Resume

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After a relatively quiet week markets finished strong on Friday. This helped push markets out of their trading ranges for the last few days. Volume was subdued but this won't matter if there is some follow through on Monday. The S&P has broken from its narrow consolidation which had bumped along just below the previous high of 2,400.  Current action looks very healthy with technicals supporting price action; a loss of 2,380 would push things back into a consolidation, but not enough to send long-term holders running.

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