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Upcoming "Death Cross" for Russell 2000 ($IWM)

Pattern Breakouts in S&P and Nasdaq, as Bitcoin on Buy Signal

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The consolidations I mapped out last week for the S&P and Nasdaq, shipped breakouts move on Friday. Volume wasn't particularly high, but there were technical improvements for these indices. The breakout in the S&P saw a new On-Balance-Volume breakout to follow the early 'buy' trigger in the MACD. The index is enjoying a relative improvement over the Nasdaq.

Indices Broaden Into Trading Ranges

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Not a whole lot has happened since my last update. Indices are morphing into trading ranges, minimizing the impact of some of the losses, even losses registering higher volume distribution. The Russell 2000 ($IWM) undercut its 20-day MA on confirmed distribution. Technicals saw new losses in the MACD and +DI/-DI. Next up is the 50-day MA. Such a test will confirm a sequence of higher highs and higher lows - maintaining the rally - or confirming trading range support...

S&P and Nasdaq Posts Gains To Maintain Consolidation

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Both the Nasdaq and S&P posted small gains after yesterday's to keep the consolidation intact and return both indices above their respective 50-day MAs. Buying volume was down for both indices. Nasdaq technicals remain net bearish, although momentum for the S&P is bouncing off the midline - an area of support in a cyclical bull market.

S&P Joins Nasdaq With Net Bearish Technicals

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It's not all doom-and-gloom, but there is a split between the Russell 2000 ($IWM) and equal-weighted S&P ($SPXEW) and the Nasdaq ($COMPQ) and weighted S&P ($SPX). It's still unclear which side will win out, but we can play each trade as it stands. The S&P dropped below its 50-day MA on higher volume distribution, enough so that it's now considered to be net bearish. The index is outperforming the Nasdaq, but unless there is a quick recovery this index will drift back to 7K; shorts can place a stop above its 50-day MA.

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