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Upcoming "Death Cross" for Russell 2000 ($IWM)

Bitcoin Surge - Long Term Buyers Celebrate

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Bitcoin has traded around its 200-week MA for the best part of the summer, and I have been saying it was a long-term buy at this level. The past few days have seen this cryptocurrency surge, setting in motion the start of the development of the right-hand-base. This base started from the decline in the summer of 2025, and will likely require another year or two before it makes its way back to $125; realistically, it could spend another year trading between $65K and $83K.

Media Talks Of "Slides" But Breakouts Not Done Yet

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One (semi-)bad day in markets does not make for a bear market. Today didn't deliver for markets the baby-step gains of recent days, but instead offered a large step down. The Russell 2000 ($IWM) edged a breakout last week, but today's loss took it back to breakout support. Another down day tomorrow will mean a 'bull trap' and a likely move down to (and below) $287, and would probably be a short play. Longer term, the 200-day MA would come into play.

S&P Trades Tight Handle With Excellent Risk:Reward For Longs

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Bullish setups continue to present themselves for traders. Best of these look to be in the S&P, but there are good setups all around. The S&P is trading a narrow handle just above its initial breakout. Technicals are net bullish and showing no sign of negative divergence. Volume has been declining across this narrow pattern, as expected, but should pick up on the breakout. If there is a caveat, watch for the fakeout; this will show as a spike low - possibly as soon as tomorrow - with a close back in the range. The index should break higher the day after this happens. A fakeout spike would be an nice buy. Any fakeout shouldn't need to undercut 7,600.

Bulls Take Friday's Finish As Breakouts Offer Excellent Risk:Reward Plays

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It was a good close to the end of week. Bulls have set things up nicely for next week, to the point that even buying at the open might be worth a shot (assuming no major gap higher). The Russell 2000 ($IWM) offers good risk:reward using a stop on Thursday's lows.

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