Capitulation time (again)?

A Nasty Jobs Report and futures down big. The Nasdaq looks to have most to loose as the January low is only a short stones throw away.




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Nasdaq primed for breakout

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Markets experienced modest losses, but there is still underlying strength in the market.  The Nasdaq is primed to break to a new swing high, helped by the relatively light volume associated with today's selling as it knocks on the door for a close above 12,200. Technicals remain net bullish, although the index did lose some relative performance against the S&P.  However, Rate Of Change is the highest it has been for months, another indication of bullish strength and the likelihood of a breakout in the coming days.
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S&P "Bull Trap"?

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I thought there was sufficient evidence to argue against a "bull trap" in the S&P, but it would appear the market wasn't interested in such thoughts and sellers were quick to reverse the initial push above 4,200.  Adding to the pain were new 'sell' triggers in MACD and On-Balance-Volume, although the former occurred above the 'bullish' zero line, making it a weak signal. Selling volume ranked as distribution as selling momentum picked up speed.  The index is also underperforming relative to the Russell 2000. 
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"Black Candlesticks" are a concern for the S&P and Nasdaq

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A bright start for bulls on the back of positive $NVDA earnings wasn't enough to generate a day of meaningful gains.  However, it did help stall the losses of the last couple of days. The Nasdaq was the biggest beneficiary of today's action, but not enough to see an end-of-day finish that cleared last week's swing high, nor delivery of a large white candlestick, despite the morning breakout gap.  Technicals are net bullish and relative performance against the S&P has become consistently stronger since the start of May.  While today's candlestick I would view as typically 'bearish', today's volume ranked as confirmed accumulation (bullish). Overall, I would be looking for higher prices from here. 
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