A relatively torrid Thursday and Friday saw markets push towards the lows of February/March after failed attempts to shape a higher low.  Should we undercut these lows then we will have to consider the possibility for a larger measured move lower (anchored from the March high).  If were were to consider the Nasdaq as a starting point, then the measured move down would give an approximate target of 10,900 or the swing low of August 2020 (at 10,520). There isn't a whole lot on the technical side which is positive and the fact intermediate stochastics [39,1] are not oversold suggests there is more downside to come. 

Bulls tried to nip a win before the shortened week was out, but it was not to be. Wednesday's gains were reversed on Thursday's action, leaving markets to sweat out the long weekend.  The Russell 2000 held up the best of the indices, although the ETF ($IWM) finished with net distribution. On the plus side, the index is outperforming its peers - so if there is a leadership candidate for a rally, the Russell 2000 is the index to do the legwork.

Today was another day for sellers to keep the pressure on the current decline.  The Russell 2000 ($IWM) was able to buck the trend by finishing the day higher but it did give back the majority of its gains by the close of business.  The Nasdaq and S&P have room to maneuver before hitting prior lows.  The Russell 2000 ($IWM) is outperforming peer indices but regaining momentum from a 'bull trap' is a concern. However, it's well placed to rally and any gain tomorrow would probably be enough to negate today's bearish looking candlestick. 

I was looking for more from Friday's trading action as sellers were able to prevent buyers from gaining any traction over the course of the day.  A soft open got softer as the day progressed and the week finished with markets now looking vulnerable to a gap down open on Monday.  If there was a positive it was that selling volume was light, but there was further technical degradation by the close. This was perhaps hardest felt in the Russell 2000 ($IWM), which sold off by less than 1%, but there was enough weakness to see a 'sell' trigger in stochastics to turn technicals net bearish for the index.  There is a support level around $192.85 which needs to hold if the index is to continue a sequence of higher highs - higher lows from the February bottom.