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Indices Defend 200-day MAs

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Last week's selling had put pressure on markets not seen since 2016 but the run of good form has meant Tech and Large Cap Indices are only now testing 200-day MAs. There was a brief overshoot on Thursday but the week closed more settled. The S&P did well to make it back to its 200-day MA but it complicates the risk:reward which now has a loss of 2,710 as the place for a stop which is well outside most comfort zones. Given that, I would look for some retest of 2,710.

Buy Signals Blown Away

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The support levels which were on offer for the Russell 2000, Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P were undone by the biggest 1-day loss in the year. Not surprisingly, volume rose in distribution as traders bailed.  The only index to finish on support was the Nasdaq 100. Although with a 4%+ loss it would be a brave trader to be buying the 200-day MA.

Buy Small Caps.

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Today is a simple call for action. On Friday, the Russell 2000 tagged its 200-day MA in a manner which was picture perfect for those peppering the 200-day MA with GTC 'buy' orders.  Monday was the second chance for a slice of this action with another tag of the 200-day MA. If there is a 200-day MA fail it will be a clean sell but as this is oversold on near-term and intermediate stochastics it's looking like a relatively low risk buy with stops on a loss of 1,615 and an initial target of 1,715 - a healthy risk:reward with the index closing at 1,630.

Russell 2000 Tags 200-day MA; S&P at 50-day MA; Semiconductor Cracks

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Indices recorded another set of losses but some now offer an opportunity for longs. Best of these belong to the Russell 2000. The Russell 2000 managed a picture perfect tag of the 200-day MA with Friday's lows making it to 1,618. Shorts trading the tag (of the 200-day MA) will have come out with a nice profit and aggressive longs may have also used the opportunity to trade a bounce with a buy.

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