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A Bear Market for S&P could only touch 2016 lows

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The 'most hated' rally, started in 2009, suffered a potential setback with wide range (neutral) candlesticks across markets. How much the UK election result played on this remains to be seen but Friday's trading marked a day of chaos.  Shorts should not be jumping so much for joy. The rally for the past few months has taken indices to a point where a 25% loss - a definition for a bear market - would only see tests of February's lows in 2016 (and nowhere near a test of 2009 lows or anything later). The S&P experienced higher volume distribution as the day closed with a 'spinning top'. Next week will be about consolidating the action in the context of Friday's close and holding the breakout. Technicals remain positive

(Pre-) Breakout in Russell 2000

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There wasn't much to attract interest but the Russell 2000 managed to stick its head above the parapet with a solid gain.  The Russell 2000 was left just shy of challenging trading range resistance.  Other indices are trading in a tight range which builds tension for a reactionary move; given what's happened in Small Caps, a breakout higher is perhaps favored. The Russell 2000 cleared inner resistance of the 'bear trap' and brought the index to trading range resistance. Tomorrow, watch for a consolidation at 1,420 before the Russell 2000 pushes higher.

Low Key - Healthy Bullish Action

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Today was the perfect day for bulls looking for buying opportunities. Markets exhibited small bullish 'hammers' as part of a 3-day pullback; collectively shaping up as bullish flags. As an added bonus, volume rose to register an accumulation day. The S&P pullback will be confirmed on a move above 2,435 with a stop on a loss of 2,425.

Second Day of Profit Taking

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Higher Volume distribution took hold in indices but there was no significant point loss to go with the selling. S&P gains posted late last week are holding while breakout buyers have yet to feel the pressure of this week's losses. The surge in S&P relative performance has weakened but hasn't yet pushed a 'sell' trigger.

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