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Late Selling Helps Build Market Consolidation

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Markets are coiling towards a decision point (within a larger range defined by March high/lows), although markets sold off in late trading to give bears an opportunity to squeeze bulls tomorrow.  If bears win, then a retest of March swing lows is favored, and failing that, a move to December lows. The S&P is oscillating around the 50-day MA. Today's high at 2,089 marks a short risk level for a push to the March low of 2,039.

Range Bound Noise

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Friday's gains came off the back of weak technicals, and didn't really change the larger picture. The S&P is bound by the March swing high/low (the high also marking a double top around 2,115). Until either of these levels break there is little more to add. Even the 20-day/50-day MA isn't offering much help.

Bulls Continue To Defend Recent Swing Lows

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Today's losses took indices to test March lows before buyers stepped in to bring things back by the close. For the Nasdaq, bulls came in at the 50-day MA, although today's action registered as higher volume distribution.

Inside Day Keeps Things Open

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Large and Small Caps traded inside yesterday's range, closing lower against yesterday's higher close. While yesterday's buying hasn't been totally eliminated, it will have put a dent in bullish confidence. Watch for follow through selling tomorrow. While the S&P closed above the 20-day and 50-day MA yesterday, today it closed below each of these MAs.  Technicals only require a stochastic drop below the bullish mid line to turn net bearish. Relative performance against the Russell 2000 also accelerated downwards.

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