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Further Selling Across The Board

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A tough day for bulls, a day which hurt Large Caps more than any other index. The S&P cut deep below 2064. It looks good for a push back to the 200-day MA, which is just above 1,988 support.  Volume climbed to register as distribution.

Semiconductor Index digs in at 20-day MA

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A modest recovery in markets likely helped bears more than bulls, although indices didn't recover enough to offer bulls anything more than a respite. The exception was the semiconductor index; it finished just above its 20-day MA, which is above 700 breakout support. It flashed a MACD trigger 'sell', which may expand om weakness tomorrow, but the daily chart is looking very good for bulls.

'Bull Traps' in Dow and S&P

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Friday was the first real move bears have successfully pulled off in recent weeks, at least for the S&P and Dow. In the case of the S&P, there was a decisive undercut of 2093 and 20-day MA, with the index finishing just 9 points above its 50-day MA. As the latter moving averages offered little in the way of support in January or February, the likelihood it that we will see another challenge on the 200-day MA. Volume climbed to register a confirmed distribution day, and came with a technical bearish cross between -DI and +DI. Any rally back to 2093 will likely get shorted on Monday.

S&P Maintains Breakout on Successful 20-day MA Test

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Another day, another successful defense of breakout support. The S&P held on to its 20-day MA and is well placed to bounce of this moving average tomorrow. Volume was down, which for a higher close was maybe a little disappointing.

Close to an Inflection point for S&P

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A second day of losses brought markets closer to support, and a potential decision point. The S&P tagged support at 2094 and the 20-day MA at 2090. Bulls will need to step up to the plate tomorrow if such key support is to hold. Lose 2093 and 2064 comes into play. Volume climbed today to register as distribution.

Bears Scratch The Market

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It was looking good for bears, until the late recovery put a bit of a gloss on proceedings. The first half hour of trading (and premarket) will be important tomorrow. The S&P is trading close to breakout support, and the 20-day MA is fast approaching to lend a hand. If bears were able to break both these levels it would open up for some downside. Although, fresh support would quickly emerge at converged 2064 support and the 50-day MA, but beyond that there is room down to 2000/1990.

Solid gains, especially for the Semiconductor Index

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It was another good day for indices, but it was left to the Semiconductor Index to drive the biggest gain of the day. This is good news for Nasdaq and Nasdaq 100 bulls. The measured move target for this leg is 800.

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