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Minor Gains Continue as Semiconductors Shape Handle

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While I'm late with this weekend's update there was very little to add from Thursday. Best of the action remains in the Semiconductors, which is shaping a solid handle in preparation for a possible break higher (ignore the 'Death Cross' between 20-d and 50-d MAs - this is now a 'Golden Cross').

Wide(r) Range Day Breaks the Monotony

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There wasn't a whole lot going on today. The Russell 2000 closed with a potential 'bull trap' that could evolve into something bigger, perhaps the only index offering shorts anything as of today's close.

Russell 2000 Adds to Breakout

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Wednesday proved to be a relatively quiet day. Large Caps managed to keep themselves out of the limelight with a mid-morning recovery after an opening sell off. Best of the action belonged to the Russell 2000. It was able to put some distance on a tight handle consolidation, which sets it up for a move to challenge resistance at 1,208.

Swing Trade Tuesday's Narrow Range

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All indices traded themselves into very narrow ranges - offering the potential for a big move once today's high/low are breached. It's the kind of market where everyone is expecting the rally to collapse, but no one wants to make the first move. Which is why this rally will probably keep moving higher; even if all buyers are in, shorts will have to cover if there is another surge - which will bring more buyers in. One thing which is happening is the reduction in buying volume. The S&P is unchanged.

Further Minor Gains Extend Rallies

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There wasn't much to today or Friday, but bulls kept the pressure on shorts in existing positions. The Russell 2000 had the best of the (modest) action, edging a breakout from the narrow, 6-day handle. A move to upper resistance remains favoured; watch for a 'bull trap' on an undercut of breakout support.

Dow Pushes Well Past Breakout Support

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Another day of gains for markets, but it was the Dow which is best positioned to benefit. The Dow is out of range of the easy short with an undercut of breakout support: one day of loss might not be enough to see this level tested, given net bullish technicals and a MACD at a new high.

Some Bullish Follow Through To Yesterday's Breakout Defense

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The shorting opportunity presented on yesterday's intraday close didn't last the morning. The S&P opened above 2,009 support and this level didn't get a look in through the day. I have widened the Fib levels, but there is a chance it will push higher tomorrow.

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