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Upcoming "Death Cross" for Russell 2000 ($IWM)

Markets Mark Breakout Gaps

If you a follower of JC Parets you would be looking at a (very) bullish market outlook. I would be more cautious, but today's action has done much to negate some of the lingering bearishness from yesterday. However, markets in a trading range should be considered neutral until all-time highs are breached, but long term investors can accumulate.

The Russell 2000 ($IWM) gapped higher yesterday, but closed with a bearish black candlestick. However, today's buying managed to createa a bullish engulfing pattern to negate the bearish black candlestick. In addition, yesterday's gap created an "island reversal" which is a significant (bullish) reversal pattern. Note, this gap can't close for the pattern to be true. Technicals are improving with a 'buy' trigger in stochastics to match earlier ones in On-Balance-Volume and MACD.

The S&P gapped past 200-day MA and today closed above its 50-day MA, but tomorrow will come up against declining resistance defined by the series of mini-swing highs from January/February. Technicals saw a new 'buy' signal in stochastics.

The Nasdaq also finished with a bearish 'black' candlestick on Wednesday, but managed to negate that today with a bullish engulfing pattern today. Today's action also retained a close above its 50-day MA along with a close above the stochastic mid-line.

Bitcoin managed to keep its bullish rally intact, but now does so on net bullish technicals.

However, the Semiconductor Index managed a new breakout that does mark itself as a new bull market on net bullish technicals.

For tomorrow, we want to ensure today's gains are not undercut by any selling. A consolidation doji, or equivalent, would perhaps be the best outcome outside of another day's gain. It's just hard, given the state of the Iranian ceasefire, that tomorrow will deliver another bullish day.

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Investments are held in a pension fund on a buy-and-hold strategy.

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