Russell 2000 ($IWM) again keeps up the fight for bulls seeking a low

The divergence in the action between the Russell 2000 ($IWM), and the S&P and Nasdaq continues. If the Russell 2000 could go on to tag its 200-day MA, particularly if it's done on a bullish reversal candlestick, then there would be a good trade opportunity on offer here. Even a rally from here might be enough if there is a tight stop.

There is less joy to be found in the S&P. Fibonacci retracement levels haven't offered much support yet and the 200-day MA is a long, long way away. Despite that, the index has still managed to surge in relative performance against the Nasdaq...

The Nasdaq accelerated its losses with a 2% loss. Support at 15,150 may offer a respite, but bulls would need to bid this up early in the week if this was to play as support.

There isn't a whole lot on offer for optimists, but if the Russell 2000 can stick around current levels there may be a trade opportunity. It will probably take some stop-gap candlestick in the S&P and Nasdaq to offer the incentive for the Small Cap trade. When this time comes, lows for new trading ranges will be established across these lead indices.

---

Follow Me on Twitter


Investments are held in a pension fund on a buy-and-hold strategy.

Popular posts from this blog

Round 2 for the bearish "black" candlestick in S&P and Nasdaq

Image
The Nasdaq started brightly but ended up closing below its open price, but above yesterday's close. The S&P did something similar, although the intraday range is narrower. These two setups are somewhat complicated by the new 'buy' triggers in On-Balance-Volume for both the Nasdaq and S&P. And the new MACD trigger 'buy' for the S&P. Price action is key, so I would expect the candlestick to trump the technical picture; watch for lower prices tomorrow.
Read more

Being "Right" but still losing...

Image
I'm trying the Topstep Trader Combine as a sampler to day trading and it's an interesting setup with minimal outlay costs to get started. I'm not a huge fan of their platform UI but everything else has been pretty good so far. Today was one of those days where I waiting (and waiting) for the profit taking to kick in, but by the time sellers made their appearance I had reached my loss limit for the day and so that, was that. You can see all of my whipsaw trades here. For the record, I only work off price action, looking at support/resistance and tells like rapid stop take outs, usually a good sign for a reversal.
Read more

Russell 2000 reverses off resistance

Image
The Russell 2000 ($IWM) has shaped a four month cup-and-handle pattern, but Friday's challenge of handle resistance was not enough to generate the follow through needed to continue the rally. Despite the losses, On-Balance-Volume remains on a 'buy' trigger and the MACD has the potential to offer a 'buy' trigger of its own on the next gain. However, losses did reverse relative performance away from Small Caps to the Nasdaq. The Nasdaq banked a small gain Friday on trading volume which was lighter than normal. While price action gathered little attention, there was a return to net bullish technicals with a new MACD trigger 'buy' to go alongside the earlier 'buy' signal in On-Balance-Volume. Thursday's bearish black candlestick was not good to see, but Friday didn't deliver the losses such a candlestick can deliver. I have added a support trendline that will offer itself as an additional buy zone. Momentum is strongly bullish.
Read more

Archive

Show more