Russell 2000 ($IWM) makes small gains as part of three month base

While the Russell 2000 ($IWM) is not the leading index in the market it performed the best today, and is builidng a nice base after it's initial failure to break to new highs in early February. The Nasdaq and S&P didn't do a whole lot today, but breakouts from February are intact for both of these indices.

Technicals for the Russell 2000 ($IWM) returned net bullish with on-balance-volume on a new 'buy' signal. That said, the index is underperforming relative to both the Nasdaq and S&P. While today finished higher, the trading range neutralises the significance of the gain, and only when the range high or low is breached will we have a return to the November-January rally or a shift towards a more bearish stance.

With the Russell 2000 doing most of the leg work today there wasn't a whole lot going on with either the Nasdaq or S&P. The Nasdaq posted a small loss, extending from Friday's loss. The breakout from February remains intact but there is a substantial breakout gap to close.

The S&P closed Friday with a bearish black candlestick that followed up with losses on Monday. Technicals are a little muddled with a flatlined MACD but a generally bullish accumulation.

For the coming week it will be down to the S&P and the Nasdaq to hang on to their breakouts while the Russell 2000 continues to build the right-hand-side of its base. Nasdaq breadth remains negative and it will take time before this recovers, but price leads in all respects.

Investments are held in a pension fund on a buy-and-hold strategy.


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