Indices test support as buying opportunities present themselves

The market slip-and-slide continued. Markets that were trading at 20-day MAs now find themselves down at channel support, although in the case of the S&P, the support test is breakout support - not channel support. In the case of the S&P and Russell 2000 ($IWM), today's selling volume rose to register as distribution.  Today is a bit of a last chance saloon for the rising price channels for the Russell 2000 and Nasdaq, but aggressive traders can look to go long at channnel support. 

In the case of the Russell 2000, theere was a clear breach of channel support intraday, but the end-of-day close was enough to consider the index still inside support, as was the case in early July when there was a similar intraday channel breach.  

The Nasdaq is also trading at channel support, but without the higher volume selling of peer indices.  With the (so far) successful support test, alongside the proximity of 50-day MA support, makes this a potential long trade opportunity. Technicals are bearish with the exception of slow stochastics, although stochatics [39,1] at the midline is a buying opportunity in a bullish advance.  If we see an undercut of this mid-line, likely in association with an undercut of channel price support, we will instead have a move into a trading range, or potential trend reversal. 

The S&P is holding up better than the Russell 2000 or Nasdaq. Not only is the technical picture better, but it hasn't yet come back to channel support. As with the Nasdaq, there is a lond trade opportunity here, although stochastics suggest there is more downside before we get to a 'strong buy' situation. 

Traders do have two potential buying opportunities to work with in both the S&P and Nasdaq.  The risk is relatively low with stops going on a confirmed close below channel support. 

Get a 50% discount on my Roth IRA with a 14-day free trial. Use coupon code fallondpicks at Get My Trades to get the discount.


Follow Me on Twitter

Investments are held in a pension fund on a buy-and-hold strategy.

Popular posts from this blog

Nasdaq primed for breakout

S&P "Bull Trap"?

"Black Candlesticks" are a concern for the S&P and Nasdaq


Show more