Thursday, October 28, 2021

Nasdaq Breakout

After yesterday's struggles it was good to see Tech Indices take on a leadership role.  The Nasdaq enjoyed a clean breakout with a further uptick in realtive performance to the Russell 2000 and S&P.  While I would like to see this gain matched by the Russell 2000, it was a welcome relief to Wednesday's negativity. 


The Russell 2000 managed to recover all of yesterday's losses, but notably, it wasn't able to challenge the 'bull trap'.  Technicals are mixed, not surprising given the prior trading range.  The early optimism in September where the index was outperforming its peers has moved in the other direction.  Bulls will be leaning on the 20-, 50- and 200-day MA moving averages as a launch pad for a breakout rally. 


The S&P had posted the strongest reversal candlestick with Tuesday's 'gravestone doji', but today's buying almost negated it (along with yesterday's sell off).  Tomorrow, bulls will have a chance to deliver on this promise and continue the breakout run.


Today was a good day, but the promise only delivered for the Nasdaq.  The S&P and Russell 2000 haven't quite (re-)crossed the bullish threshold but the opportunity is there.  Let's see if they deliver. 

You've now read my opinion, next read Douglas' blog.

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Investments are held in a pension fund on a buy-and-hold strategy.

 
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