Monday, June 18, 2018

Bulls Look To Make a Stand

It's looking a little early for some of the nascent pullbacks but buyers are stepping in here to support markets. Much of this looks to be driven by the secular bull market leader, Russell 2000. It managed a new closing high as momentum traders continue to benefit from strength in this index.

The index in the best position to offer a trade tomorrow is the Semiconductor Index. Today offered a solid doji just above support. The 'tweezer top' is a concern as this pattern is typically a strong reversal signal so cautious buyers may instead prefer to wait until this is negated - but then the risk:reward becomes much broader. Technicals are a mix of bullish and bearish, although tie-deciding relative performance is on bears side (vs Tech indices).

Tech indices have benefited with the Nasdaq 100 offering a breakout opportunity of its own; this a second chance for a bite of the momentum cherry. Technicals are also a little stronger than the Semiconductor Index.

The Nasdaq is a little further along in its push to new highs but it's a momentum play alternative if you don't like the Nasdaq 100.

The S&P is also playing for a bounce opportunity with the 20-day MA acting as a support level. It may be not as attractive as other indices but it's a more cautious play. Technicals are okay despite relative underperformance.

For tomorrow, there are different grades of long plays: momentum plays in Nasdaq, and Nasdaq 100, pullback plays in Semiconductor Index and S&P and a momentum hold for the Russell 2000.

You've now read my opinion, next read Douglas' blog.

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Dr. Declan Fallon is a blogger who trades for fun on eToro and can be copied for free. I invest in my pension fund as a buy-and-hold.