Monday, April 23, 2018

Semiconductors Approach 200-day MA; S&P Sleeper Play

There were modest losses today with most indices holding the status quo from Friday. The one exception was the Semiconductor Index as it lost over 1% in a confirmed break of support. However, it does have the 200-day MA for a likely test tomorrow. All technicals are negative and relative performance took another step lower but no change there.

The Nasdaq broke bearish wedge support but is resting on a minor support level.  Today saw a new On-Balance-Volume 'sell' trigger but the 6,800/7,500 trading range is more important than any technical measure at this time; at the moment, the index looks ready to test 6,800 support.

The DowJones is still holding its breakout in a hat-tip to longs - one of the few bullish setups at the moment.

The Russell 2000 is resting on a bearish wedge support. If it follows action of the Nasdaq there should be a similar breakdown and a move down to (triangle) support.

The S&P may be the sleeper long play. It's trading inside its downward channel following a break of internal channel support; however, it's resting on a horizontal support level just below channel resistance. Technicals are more bullish than negative and 20-day and 50-day MAs are also nearby. A strong day tomorrow could see a rally up to and past channel resistance in a new breakout.

For tomorrow, aggressive longs can look to buy a Semiconductor test of the 200-day MA or the mini-pullback in the Dow Jones. Shorts can look to the wedge breakdown in the Nasdaq. However, the best play for tomorrow may prove to be a buy of the S&P.

You've now read my opinion, next read Douglas' blog.

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Dr. Declan Fallon is a blogger who trades for fun on eToro and can be copied for free. I invest in my pension fund as a buy-and-hold.