Monday, December 07, 2015

Small Caps Hut Hardest. Selling Volume Rises

It's scrappy, but today was the turn of bears to attack Friday's gains. Not much to offer other than scalping day trades in this kind of market.  The index to suffer most was the Russell 2000. It lost over 1.5% as it reversed all of Friday's gain and then some. The index is close to a breach of the rising trendline, but did enough to finish on its 50-day MA. Action suggests bulls will try tomorrow.

The S&P experienced modest selling volume. Not enough to rank as distribution, and not enough downside to break the 200-day MA as support. Technicals are still negative, apart from a strong relative performance gain against struggling Small Caps.

The Nasdaq registered a distribution day, as today's selling returned On-Balance-Volume to a 'sell' trigger for the indicator. Other technicals remain weak. The price loss wasn't great, and the 20-day MA still plays as support, but bulls wouldn't have to do much to break the recent double top.

Tomorrow is  a chance for bulls to push off MA support. Volume buying needs to pick up to reverse the clear distribution which has been in play sine Thanksgiving.

You've now read my opinion, next read Douglas' and Jani's.

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Dr. Declan Fallon is the Senior Market Technician and Community Director for, and Product Development Manager for I do a weekly broadcast on Friday's at 13:30 GMT for Tradercast, covering indices, FX and gold, silver and oil - all are welcome! You can read what others are saying about Zignals on