Narrow Losses Keep Bulls Content

The last couple of days have seen tight action which has helped consolidate gains. The biggest change has come with some of the relative moves in the indices. The S&P has added to its relative out performance, particularly against Small Caps. It's perhaps the only point of weakness given the importance of Small Cap leadership in sustaining bull trends.

Small Caps gave up more ground, losing over 1% in a day which saw little change elsewhere. Losses took the index below both 20-day and 50-day MAs for an index which has struggled since summer highs. Bears have the most to gain here as its struggles against Large Cap and Tech indices intensify.

The Nasdaq has traded in a very narrow range, holding gains. But it's the Nasdaq 100 which had the best of it. The index is knocking on the door of new highs as its relative performance jumped sharply against lead indices. Santa could come early for this index.

The Semiconductor Index has done well to come back to its 200-day MA, but the last couple of days have seen some profit taking. The Nasdaq 100 would benefit from continued strength in this lead economic index, but there has been a relative shift in performance between these indices.

Tomorrow comes down to a fight between bulls look to push new highs in the Nasdaq 100, and bears looking to turn the screw in the Nasdaq 100. It's hard to see the rally in Tech Indices and Large Caps continuing without Small Caps participation, so buyers better turn up soon in the latter index.

You've now read my opinion, next read Douglas' and Jani's.

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Dr. Declan Fallon is the Senior Market Technician and Community Director for, and Product Development Manager for I do a weekly broadcast on Friday's at 13:30 GMT for Tradercast, covering indices, FX and gold, silver and oil - all are welcome! You can read what others are saying about Zignals on


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