Thursday, January 15, 2015

Neckline Breakdown in S&P

Selling returned for another day as the rising neckline connecting December and January swing lows in the S&P broke lower. Volume climbed to register a distribution day, continuing a sequence of increased volume selling. The December swing low is the next level of support and is looking like a required test.

The Nasdaq finished with a bearish engulfing pattern within a falling channel. Support from September's highs is gone, with December's lows next.

The Russell 2000 lost big too, but losses were contained by handle support and resistance. The 200-day MA is next up on the agenda, but given its flat-lining it's not as important a test as the December swing low.

The Semiconductor Index didn't break support or trendline support. Tomorrow is a big day for the index.

For tomorrow, bulls should look to the Semiconductor Index. It has a couple of support levels to work with, although a bounce is by no means guaranteed. Other indices are edging towards further weakness, but given indices have logged five losing days in a row, it's hard to favour a sixth - although today's action points to such.

You've now read my opinion, next read Douglas' and Jani's.

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Dr. Declan Fallon is the Senior Market Technician and Community Director for, and Product Development Manager for You can read what others are saying about Zignals on