Daily Market Commentary: Sellers Continue to Press

In previous sell offs, buyers have quickly come to the fore to buy-the-dip. They weren't so encouraged on Friday with buyers struggling to meet the supply created by sellers. Buyers still have a chance to strike with available support, although the amount of risk required to take such a position has widened.

The indices closest to support, like the Nasdaq, finished with an opportunity at converged July swing lows and 50-day MA. A loss of the Friday low is the place for stops, although there is a good chance this low could be taken out on (probable) Monday (morning) weakness.

The Nasdaq 100 hasn't yet made it to the 50-day MA, but the shorter 'shadow' of Friday's candle suggests there is more demand here than in other indices.

The Dow didn't stop at former resistance of the March-May trading range, although it now has the 200-day MA to lean on for support.

The S&P has some room to run before it gets to nearest support. Of the indices it's the one most lacking a natural area for buyers to step in.

The Russell 2000 has the widest intraday range, and is some distance from support. However, May support should be good enough to offer a trade-worthy bounce.

Watch for bearish follow through Monday morning, but for indices with nearby support any early sell off may offer an opportunity - particularly if buyers step-in after the first hour.


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Dr. Declan Fallon is the Senior Market Technician and Community Director for Zignals.com.
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