Wednesday, May 01, 2013

Daily Market Commentary: Extensive Selling of Small Cap Stocks

A worrying sell off in Small Cap stocks overshadowed the selling in other indices.  The Russell 2000 experienced over a 2% sell off, cutting below 20-day and 50-day MAs in the process. However, the February and April swing lows likely mark the boundary of a trading range.  This lessens the significance of today's selling, although you still don't want to see it! The selling did result in a bear trigger in the ADX and increased the relative loss against other indices; this has been particularly ugly against the Nasdaq.

Despite a trading range in the Russell 2000, the big relative swing against Small Caps is undermining the April rally. Without participation of Small Caps, the broader rally will struggle for long term traction.  What would add to the misery is if the breakouts in the Tech averages would fail (and they are close to it).

The S&P was the big winner despite its loss. Look for the flight to safety to continue, although eventually there will be nowhere to hide.


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Dr. Declan Fallon is the Senior Market Technician and Community Director for You can read what others are saying about Zignals on