Daily Market Commentary: Indecision Once Again

From June struggles at 50-day or 200-day MAs to July struggles at former trading range support-turned-resistance it was a disappointing day for bulls. Even within this, some indices did worse than others.

The S&P spun around Friday's range with early gains towards 1,049 resistance (1,040 for many others) pegged back by the close. Volume made modest post-vacation gains but was well down on a normal trading day. Technical weakness expanded and it has started to significantly outperform Small Cap stocks (bearish).

($SPX)

via StockCharts.com

The Nasdaq was similarly struggling although there is a declining support which is holding and offers potential for those who like to catch knives - run a tight stop (below 2,061) if looking to go long.

($COMPQ)

via StockCharts.com

The real damage was in the Russell 2000. A close at the lows leaves it looking like an index which wants to crash. It is deeply oversold - but oversold can stay oversold. Buyer Beware.

($RUT)

via StockCharts.com

The one index to offer hope is the semiconductor index. Unlike the others it has yet to breach the trading range, although technically it is struggling.

($SOX)

via StockCharts.com

Wednesday will be a day to watch the Russell 2000 and SOX; the former for a runaway move down or the latter to form a bottom. Which will come up trumps?

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