Fallon Financial Commentary: Intrade: 60% chance Dow > 11,000 by 31 December 08 Get the latest market commentary and stock trading ideas from Declan Fallon

Intrade participants are looking at 60:40 split in favour of a Dow close above 11,000. The spread is not friendly with an ask of 67 and a sell at 55, but the way the current market is heading I wouldn't be surprised to see this hit 40:60 sometime in late October. The usual end-of-year rally will probably see the Dow safely over 11,000 by end of year but it will fun to watch this evolve.