The entry candlestick was wider than I would have liked for an ideal risk:reward ratio and this was reflected in the eventual cash loss of -$1,040 (-8.8%) on a 2,000 share lot. Looks destined to test the 200-day MA at $4.40.
The Nasdaq started brightly but ended up closing below its open price, but above yesterday's close. The S&P did something similar, although the intraday range is narrower. These two setups are somewhat complicated by the new 'buy' triggers in On-Balance-Volume for both the Nasdaq and S&P. And the new MACD trigger 'buy' for the S&P. Price action is key, so I would expect the candlestick to trump the technical picture; watch for lower prices tomorrow.
We are two-for-two for the S&P pushing beyond 6,100 resistance - this week was nearly an exact repeat of last week - just as things looked ready to push on, sellers returned. Supporting technicals are net bullish, which leaves just price to do its thing. What happens at converged 20-day/50-day MAs will be important, because there can only be one winner here.
Friday's big gaps lower have the potential to become breakdown gaps, but for now, the near term oversell has for a possible move into the gap price vacuum. The index most likely to achieve this in the coming days is the Russell 2000 ($IWM). The Russell 2000 ($IWM) finished with a neutral doji, just above its 50-day MA and in a thick band of support between $207.50 and $210 marked by the summer swing highs. Technicals have followed price action with new 'sell' triggers in On-Balance-Volume and ADX, but intermediate term stochastics haven't reached the mid-line that is typical support in bull markets. Aggressive bulls can look for a move to test the underside of the 20-day MA. The S&P was unable to hold its 50-day MA on Friday's open, and instead found itself toying with the May swing high. More significant support is likely to be found around 5,265, so if there is an undercut of Friday's low then this will be the next port of call. More concer...