Sunday, May 31, 2020

Strong finish on Friday for S&P and Nasdaq as Russell 2000 struggles.

The week closed strongly with volume rising in confirmed accumulation across indices. 

The S&P remained above its 200-day MA on increasing accumulation (rising On-Balance-Volume) as relative performance against the Russell 2000.and Nasdaq remained weak. The index remains on course to challenge the mini-swing high from February - a milestone already achieved by the Nasdaq.

The Nasdaq completed the closure of the February breakdown gap and is just left with February highs to beat before it has a chance to challenge 10,000.

The Russell 2000 is still playing catchup, and is struggling to reach the milestones achieved by the S&P and Nasdaq. It posted a slightly lower close after a big bearish engulfing pattern from Thursday - which itself came off a failed challenge on the 200-day MA. The one thing working in its favour is the relative performance advantage to the Nasdaq and S&P. 

The Nasdaq is on course to reverse the entire Covid19 decline, probably well before the virus disappears in relevance. If this does happen, it will give buyers confidence to do the same for the Russell 2000 or S&P. Next week could be a big one for the index.

You've now read my opinion, next read Douglas' blog.

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Investments are held in a pension fund on a buy-and-hold strategy.

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