Tuesday, May 14, 2019

Technical Damage Across Markets

The to-and-fro of the US-Chinese trade war has left markets in a bit of a grey zone and facing uncertainty after holding moving average support. The S&P undercut its 50-day MA on higher volume distribution, but it also came back with a relative performance improvement. Technicals are net bearish.


The Nasdaq also took an undercut of the 50-day MA in a similar shift to a net bearish technical picture as the S&P. However, it also lost relative ground against the S&P.


The biggest loss was felt in the Russell 2000. Small Caps took a substantial hit as investment in speculative issues took a back seat in a more defensive turn. All three key moving averages (200-day, 50-day, 20-day MA) were undercut by today's selling. Technicals are also net negative. Next support test is the March swing low. On a positive front, the index still has a relative advantage against the Nasdaq.


The Dow Jones also took a hit but actually managed to hang on to its 200-day MA. So if you are looking a bounce play, the Dow Industrial average might be the one. It even enjoys a relative performance advantage against the Nasdaq 100.


The Semiconductor Index is a mixed bag with a loss of the 50-day MA, but horizontal support at 1,400 is an opportunity for a bullish reboot.


For tomorrow, indices like the Dow Jones and Semiconductor Index will offer bulls something to work with, but if bulls are unable to build a response after the first 30 minutes of trading, then any weak bounce will be pounced on by shorts for the likes of the Russell 2000.


You've now read my opinion, next read Douglas' blog.

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