Tuesday, August 15, 2017

Time to Short?

We had the profit taking sell-off and then the bounce but is now the time for shorts to come in more aggressively? After yesterday's gapped gains there was a significant slow down in the market advance. This action presents an opportunity for shorts to attack.

The Semiconductor Index is one of the most attractive indices for shorts. The massive June bearish engulfing pattern remains dominant and offers guidance going forward. Tuesday's doji has the makings of a bearish harami cross.  Technicals are bearish and aligned in shorts favor.


The S&P managed to return above support but the 'bearish cloud cover' is a potential concern for longs.  An aggressive short could use the high for stop placement but the index is not as attractive as the Semiconductor Index.


The Nasdaq has stalled at bounce former support turned resistance. Bearish technicals do offer a chance for shorts to take a punt on today's "bearish cloud cover"; stops go on a break of today's high.


The Russell 2000 is struggling, Yesterday saw a good bounce but today it gave up a large chunk of those gains. I'm not sure there is a shorting opportunity here (the risk:reward isn't great) but the index looks ready to generate further losses.


If shorts are going to profit then today looks to be one of those days where the risk:reward is in their favour.

You've now read my opinion, next read Douglas' blog.

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Dr. Declan Fallon is a blogger who trades for fun on eToro and can be copied for free.
. I invest in my pension fund as a buy-and-hold.
 
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