Tuesday, August 30, 2011

Daily Market Commentary: Modest Accumulation

Yesterday's gains produced fine line breakouts which would have been easy to reverse on slight losses. But markets retained gains and Tech indices were able to put some distance from support, enough to offer some downside protection.

The S&P was relatively quiet as buying focused around Tech and Small Caps.  The S&P finished the day with a small gain on higher volume accumulation. Yesterday's breakout remaining valid.


The Nasdaq had the benefit of higher volume accumulation and a 0.5% gain. The index will soon be running into its first real test at 2,616 resistance.


The Nasdaq 100 took the gains a step further, surpassing the trading range low and approaching the 50-day MA. Given the index had no problem regaining the trading range it's likely the Nasdaq will push above 2,616. How these indices perform at the 50-day MAs is the real question.


Driving gains in the Nasdaq and Nasdaq 100 is the semiconductor index. Semiconductors gapped out of the narrow channel and are moving towards the 50-day MA.


One of the worries for this rally is the lack of breakout candidates. However, with markets shaping a double bottom there should be enough momentum to see challenges on 50-day MAs. Look for shorts to turn up the heat when this key intermediate term trend metric is tested.

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Dr. Declan Fallon is the Senior Market Technician and Community Director for Zignals.com. I offer a range of stock trading strategies for global markets which can be Previewed for Free with delayed trade signals. You can also view the top-10 best trading strategies for the US, UK, Europe and Rest-of-the-World in the Zignals Trading Strategy Leaderboard. The Leaderboard also supports advanced search capability so you can tailor your strategies to suit your individual requirements.

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