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Early Enthusiasm Fails To Hold

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This will be the last post until my return from holidays on July 22nd.  Today finished with a bit of indecision as indices closed with bearish 'black' candlesticks; there were strong opening gaps but no follow through with afternoon buying. The risk is for a gap down tomorrow, which would leave bearish 'reversal evening stars'. The biggest gain came from the Nasdaq. The index gapped over 1%, but this gap didn't clear the April high. Volume was reasonable if a little unspectacular. Relative performance against the S&P remained strong.

Small Caps Maintain Strength

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It was another good day for Small Cap stocks as the Russell 2000 added over 1% to bring it into a challenge of the June swing high. Just as the declines of the early part of last week were of lesser significance because of the broader trading range between 1,500 and 1,610; the same is true for Thursday's and Friday's gain. The one aspect which is interesting is the improvement in relative performance against the S&P. With money flowing back into Small Caps, the groundwork for a larger, secular rally is been put into place.

Russell 2000 Stages Recover

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A much needed boost to Small Caps gave value buyers a shot in the arm as the Russell 2000 gained nearly 2%, returning it above 200-day and 50-day MAs. It was an important recovery which wasn't quite mirrored by peer indices, but such indices are in much better shape.

Small Cap Weakness Spreads

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Sellers took a third day of selling out of the Russell 2000 and this weakness made its way to the S&P and Nasdaq. The selling is more problematic for the Russell 2000 because there is a genuine lack of conviction from traders wanting to pick up an index which is trading at a deep discount to its peers.

Neutral Friday although Russell 2000 wobbles

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Options expiration skewed volume action but it was a relatively neutral day.  Only the Russell 2000 suggested a more bearish undertone existed in the market. The S&P is currently probing its April high so it's of no surprise to see a small 'gravestone' doji appear on this test. I would be happy to see a small consolidation handle (ideally holding the 50-day MA) as a preparation for a push to new all-time highs but don't be surprised if the market doesn't wait for this. This rally has merit with excellent relative performance and an accumulation trend in volume.

Markets Consolidate Tuesday's Gains

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It's looking like markets are keen to challenge April highs. The narrow consolidations which built up over last week was cleared by Tuesday's gains and held these highs by Wednesday's close. For the S&P, this came with an accumulation day. Other technicals are net bullish.

Small Gains Continue Market Consolidations

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Not a whole lot offered by indices, but what was offered had more bullish overtones than negative. The Nasdaq continued with its shaping of a bullish handle. Volume climbed a little in registering an accumulation day. The index still has to put some distance from its 50-day MA but once it does and mounts a challenge on April highs it could really pick up momentum. On a more subtle note, there was an uptick in relative performance.

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