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Tech Indices Dig In At Support

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It was a relatively quiet day for markets so today was more about the working status of potential trade setups. Tech Indices are still holding to a bullish set up with both the Nasdaq and Nasdaq 100 at channel support having enjoyed small gains today.  Stops can go on a loss of today's lows if looking to take advantage of the support test.

Russell 2000 Breakout Under Pressure

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The Russell 2000 break of 1,520 is under threat with today's loss. Next up is converged 20-day and 50-day MA support but such a test will confirm the breakout loss and open up for a new trading range opportunity. However, a loss of 1,450 would bring the August low into play and suggest a more significant top is in play.

Semiconductor Index Continues To Sell Off

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After Friday's sell-and-recovery it had looked like there was an opportunity to play a bounce, particularly for the Semiconductor Index. However, the reality proved to be different. Instead, sellers maintained the run of form from Friday and pushed the Semiconductor Index right down to Friday's low - undercutting the 50-day MA in the process.  Monday's close delivered a net bearish turn in technicals. The slower trendline connecting the July-August swing lows is the next target down.

Indices Stage Intraday Recoveries in Wide Range Day

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Volatility took a tick higher with profit taking sweeping across the broad before buyers zipped it all back up. Trump's Russian investigation will add a level of uncertainty to the Tax Cut rally and markets may take another trip into Friday's intraday low; should markets deliver a lower close Monday then it could turn into an ugly week as traders will need to defend Friday's lows  The Semiconductor Index was hardest hit last week but it was able to dig in at its 50-day MA and finish the week above this key moving average. If there is going to be a rally I would look to this index to deliver simply because it suffered the hardest level of selling and should be the most amenable to a recovery rally.

Profit Taking Sweeps Tech While Large Caps Gain

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There was a clear shift in market behaviour as Large Caps enjoyed the fruit of renewed buying as Tech indices (Semiconductors mostly) felt the heat of profit taking. After weeks of tight gains in the Semiconductor Index it was an easy turn for profit takers to come in and push the market down; in the absence of logical support it was going to be a hard task to pinpoint where potential depend may lurk outside of 1,150.  The 50-day MA may provide one such escape but there isn't a whole lot to suggest it may play as support.

Large Caps (Financials) Make The Jump Against Tech

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In the end, it wasn't Tech to surprise with an acceleration past its bullish rising channel but the S&P and Dow with fresh breakouts. A confluence of positive data  fueled the advance in Large Caps along with a dollop of short covering.  Tuesday's action ranks as a breakout in this indices and brings into play new support levels should profit-takers come in to take advantage of the gains.  The only downside for the S&P was the continued downtrend in relative performance against Small Caps - suggesting the real money is flowing into more speculative issues.

Nasdaq Tags Channel Resistance

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The post-Thanksgiving recovery offered some modest profit taking with Semiconductors experiencing the worst of the selling but the Nasdaq tagging resistance before reversing.  It offered the clearest 'sell'/profit take trigger after the August support 'buy' signal. Given action in other indices it could break above resistance, accelerating gains, but taking some profits here would be prudent.

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