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And the wait goes on (for the Nasdaq 100)...

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The index which looked ready to the pop spent another day on the sidelines.  There is little room for maneuver for either side so if the Nasdaq 100 doesn't pop tomorrow it's hard to know when it will. Volume climbed in accumulation and the MACD triggered a new 'buy'.

Dow Breakout and Russell Adds to Gains

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The Dow followed in the footsteps of other indices by mounting a breakout but it was the Russell 2000 which stole today's limelight. Starting with the Dow, it made a straight-forward break to new highs on higher volume accumulation. Technicals remain in good shape.

Nasdaq Breakout

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It has been slow in coming but Friday delivered on the week's promise. Friday offered a solid clean break of resistance on higher volume accumulation. It was a text book breakout accompanied by a MACD trigger 'buy'.  The only concern bulls will have for the coming week is a 'bull trap' marked by a two-bar reversal.

Expanded Russell 2000 Breakout - Nasdaq Ready to Follow

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Yesterday saw big gains for the Russell 2000 as it accelerated past breakout support. A large part of this buying was likely driven by short covering but today's defense of those highs is a vote of confidence by buyers who are looking to hold for longer than a few days. The target of 1,560 is the first overbought target to aim for at the 85th percentile rising to 1,637 for the 95th percentile (of historical prices going back to 1987).

Small Caps Take Advantage of Tech Hold Out

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It was a day for watching the Nasdaq and Nasdaq 100 but it was the Russell 2000 which took the day's honors. Both the Nasdaq and Nasdaq 100 held on to channel support for another day although it wasn't entirely a decisive defense. Fifty-day MAs are holding but the 'spinning top' candlesticks are a mark of indecisiveness. Volume climbed to register as accumulation.

Can Tech Breakouts Occur From Here?

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The squeeze set-up from last week which offered bulls a likely breakout has now fallen back inside the prior consolidation. Bulls now have a decision to make; do they defend the rising channel? Or let prices drift lower and risk a seller capitulation. A channel break at this stage would be very concerning and would open moves to test the June and August swing lows along with the 200-day MA - each a long way from current levels; in addition, a loss of the August swing low would effectively confirm a double-top.

Russell 2000 Hits Its Target

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Friday delivered the upside target of 1,450 I was looking for in the Russell 2000. Next will be some follow through in line with the S&P and Dow breakouts, but this will require a resistance break which will be harder than a resistance tag. Technicals are healthy and relative strength is working strongly in Small Caps favour.

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