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S&P Confirms Consolidation Breakout

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Markets are still bound by the larger range from March, but there was a consolidation breakout on offer from the S&P. It still has overhead supply to work with, but today's buying registered as accumulation. The S&P enjoyed a MACD and Stochastic 'buy' along with today's action. However, On-Balance-Volume still has to trigger a 'buy' signal to turn all technicals net bullish.

Tech and Small Caps had best of action

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I started the day with a short in the Nasdaq 100, and ended the day stopped out. Large Caps didn't quite reach the same highs, but will likely follow the leadership of the Nasdaq and Small Caps. The Russell 2000 will likely lead the indices out. It's very close to negating the 'bull trap'. Tomorrow could be the day.

Late Selling Helps Build Market Consolidation

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Markets are coiling towards a decision point (within a larger range defined by March high/lows), although markets sold off in late trading to give bears an opportunity to squeeze bulls tomorrow.  If bears win, then a retest of March swing lows is favored, and failing that, a move to December lows. The S&P is oscillating around the 50-day MA. Today's high at 2,089 marks a short risk level for a push to the March low of 2,039.

Range Bound Noise

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Friday's gains came off the back of weak technicals, and didn't really change the larger picture. The S&P is bound by the March swing high/low (the high also marking a double top around 2,115). Until either of these levels break there is little more to add. Even the 20-day/50-day MA isn't offering much help.

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