Posts

Daily Market Commentary: Watch for Nasdaq Breakout

Image
Lots of buying volume on Friday, although only small gains to match. The Nasdaq is best poised to advance on Monday given it lies just shy of resistance. The narrow range day also offers itself as a swing trade opportunity (with a stop on the flip side).  Trend direction suggests this will push higher, becoming a nail in the coffin to what had looked like a (complex) bearish head-and-shoulder reversal.

Daily Market Commentary: Bullish Accumulation

Image
Bulls do it again with higher volume accumulation follow through.  The S&P finished at a new high as it works its way towards the 10% envelope I define as covered call sell territory.

Daily Market Commentary: Contained Rally

Image
Disappointing action after bulls attempted to build on Friday's stall in the decline. The Russell 2000 had the best of the action as it suggested a breakout from the bullish flag.  Bulls could look to buy with a stop on a loss of Friday's low. The next challenge is to clear declining resistance connecting March and June swing highs.

Daily Market Commentary: Low Volume Stall

Image
Bulls didn't want to offer bears any confidence and Friday's low volume (small) gain was enough to keep them away. Optimist bulls could say Friday finished with bullish inside days/bullish doji - but such patterns only have merit in oversold markets, and this is not an oversold market. However, there are plenty of long term bulls (me included) who have limited skin in the game and are looking at opportunities to get in. I'm waiting for a 10% discount on the 200-day MA, but others won't be so patient and may look to nibble on Monday. For the S&P, the 20-day MA is fast approaching the market even if the S&P is dawdling down to the MA. The S&P may kick on once the 20-day MA is tested.

Daily Market Commentary: Destined For Push Back to 20-day MAs?

Image
The 2nd/3rd day of declines has been relatively orderly so far. Volume picked up in distribution as many traders took easy profits from either the May breakout, or from positions taken during the earlier dip in January/February. A move back to 20-day MAs would be substantial enough to attract buyers back, and yet maintain the strong bullish momentum which has been a characteristic of the summer breakout. Even if there was a loss of the 20-day MA in the S&P there would be additional support to be found from the May breakout level.

Daily Market Commentary: Light Losses

Image
Stockcharts data may be back, but there wasn't much to miss. Indices finally got a down day, but it was nothing to suggest it was anything more than the start of a consolidation.  Today's action was welcome, probably by both sides.  Overall low volume losses in the S&P could also be viewed as distribution at a pinch, but best to stick with the low volume thesis.

Daily Market Commentary: Stockcharts Feed Fail

Unfortunately, stockcharts had a data feed failure, so no update for today.  But going on Yahoo data, morning weakness was bid up by the close, to leave indices more or less where they started. The morning buying again points to demand buying on any sniff of weakness. --- All Contributions Welcome - Thank You! Follow Me on Twitter Dr. Declan Fallon is the Senior Market Technician and Community Director for Zignals.com . You can read what others are saying about Zignals on Investimonials.com . JOIN ZIGNALS TODAY - IT'S FREE!

Archive

Show more