Wednesday, August 17, 2016

S&P Breakout Support Holds

The weak start didn't deliver a rout in markets. Instead, after the obligatory first half-hour of trading came the (bullish) reversal which lasted the rest of the day.  The overall picture hasn't changed, with the S&P stuck inside a narrow range, but a panic sell-off looks less likely now.

Buyers look keen to defend drops below 2,170 in the S&P.  Volume climbed to register accumulation, despite general holiday volumes. Bulls will want to see a fresh MACD 'buy' to confirm an end to an effective 7-week consolidation.  Aggressive traders can look to the 20-day MA for buying opportunities and/or trailing stops.


In the absence of a trading range, the Nasdaq found support on its approach to its 20-day MA. It didn't quite reach it, but there may be a kick higher in the absence of any real overhead resistance.


The Russell 2000 was perhaps the only disappointment. While it did stage a late day recovery from its 20-day MA, it still finished below yesterday's close. If there is going to be further selling this week, then Small Caps may be the most vulnerable to this.


On sector news front, there have been two weak 'buy' triggers in Utilities. While the first was likely to have led to a stop out, today's was nice for those taking the bite off the open price. The sector finished with a bullish engulfing pattern on big volume.


For tomorrow, bulls can look for continued gains in the S&P and Nasdaq. Bears should continue to track the Russell 2000.

You've now read my opinion, next read Douglas' and Jani's.

I trade a small account on eToro, and invest using Ameritrade. If you would like to join me on eToro, register through the banner link and search for "fallond".

If you are new to spread betting, here is a guide on position size based on eToro's system.


Share on StockTwits

---

Accepting KIVA gift certificates to help support the work on this blog. All certificates gifted are converted into loans for those who need the help more.

Follow Me on Twitter




Dr. Declan Fallon is the Senior Market Technician for ChartDNA.com, and Product Development Manager for FirstDerivatives.com. I also trade on eToro and can be copied for free.
 
f9229fcfd1b1390be00cfccc86c90349c93a4179bf4227457c