Monday, October 25, 2010

Daily Market Commentary: Supply Overhead

For the first time, bulls encountered some of the supply issues they will likely face in the days ahead. The initial morning advance gave way to selling, selling which intensified after bulls attempted a late afternoon rally. Tomorrow could be ugly.

The S&P finished the day with a 'Shooting Star', but also enjoyed a 'Golden Cross' between 50-day and 200-day MAs. Volume climbed to register an accumulation day - although churning would be a better description of the days trading volume.

($SPX)

via StockCharts.com

The Nasdaq also closed with a 'Shooting Star' down at support of its narrow channel.

($COMPQ)

via StockCharts.com

The Russell 2000 closed with a 'Golden Cross' and a 'Shooting Star'

($RUT)

via StockCharts.com

The only index to buck the trend was the semiconductor index. It was able to put my ground between itself and its 200-day MA.

($SOX)

via StockCharts.com

Of breadth indicators, the Nasdaq Summation Index followed the Percentage of Nasdaq Stocks above the 50-day MA with the first of a technical 'sell' trigger. Although, none of the breadth indicators are technically net bearish - just starting to point that way.

($NAA50R)

via StockCharts.com

Having said that, I wouldn't be optimistic for tomorrow.

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