Thursday, September 09, 2010

Daily Market Commentary: Black Candlesticks Abound

While the day offered early promise in the end it couldn't build on opening strength. The S&P didn't make manage a test of its 200-day MA, but was able to finish the day higher.



Where it got dicey was with Tech and Small Caps. The Nasdaq and Nasdaq 100 finished with black candlesticks at overbought stochastics. Such setups are typically followed by gap downs and a lower close. The Nasdaq 100 is perhaps the most vulnerable to a pull back tomorrow.



Small Caps and Semiconductors, while also finishing on black candlesticks, are not as vulnerable to a sell off tomorrow because their respective black candlesticks are not isolated at the top of a rally.




Tomorrow will likely see Tech weakness which may spread to Large and Small Caps. Today wasn't quite the test of 200-day MAs I was looking for so maybe tomorrow won't be the horror show black candlesticks tend to produce.

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