Sunday, December 09, 2012

Weekly Market Commentary: Positive Action on Low Key Week

Calm before the storm? It was a relatively quiet week for markets.  Daily charts tested key support levels of 200-day and 50-day MAs, while the point shift in these markets was relatively minor.  Weekly market breadth was also relatively unaffected.

The Percentage of Nasdaq Stocks above the 50-day MA had one of the smallest changes for 2012. It's also in neutral territory, but rising, in line with a seasonal 'Santa Rally'


The Nasdaq is caught in a bit of trading range, with 3,100-3,196 likely to play as supply in the latter part of December. The light breadth action reflecting this indecision.


Small Caps remain the index of choice. The 'bear trap' is playing nicely for bulls.  A break above 868 would be very positive for the index, and it could be a big performer in 2013.


The S&P is also coming off a 'bear trap', but it looks like there is a bit more potential in Small Caps to maximize its benefit. However, the S&P should see 1,474 broken as part of the Santa Rally and typical reaction to a 'bear trap'


Despite the quiet week, bulls can be pleased with how things finished last week, and can be optimistic for the coming week. Stops can go on a loss of 'bear trap' lows.

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Dr. Declan Fallon is the Senior Market Technician and Community Director for Zignals.com. I offer a range of stock trading strategies for global markets which can be Previewed for Free with delayed trade signals. You can also view the top-10 best trading strategies for the US, UK, Europe and Rest-of-the-World in the Trading Strategy Marketplace Leaderboard. The Leaderboard also supports advanced search capability so you can tailor your strategies to suit your individual requirements.

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