Sunday, February 26, 2012

Weekly Market Commentary: Bullish

Indices were able to finish the week at or near the highs. The index which is most likely to benefit next week is the Russell 2000.  Whereas Tech has already broken to new highs and Large Caps are on the verge of doing so, it's the Russell 2000 which is set up for a breakout and offers room to next resistance.  The challenge remains 830, but a close above this level will leave another 35 points of room until resistance is encountered.


The Nasdaq has no overhead supply, but the gradual weakening of market breadth limited last week's gain to under one percent.


The Nasdaq Summation Index was the breadth indicator to give up the most (albeit a small loss).


The S&P is just 5 points away from 2011 highs. From there it will go on to challenge the 2007 high, but it might be slow going given Small Caps and Tech will tempt buyers from positions of new multi-year highs.


Next week looks set for a further expansion in breadth weakness which may result in a more substantial pullback in the S&P and Nasdaq than we have seen in recent weeks.  The broader trend remains bullish any any selling will likely fit with profit taking rather than an absence of interest from buyers (low volume selloffs carry that distinction).

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Dr. Declan Fallon is the Senior Market Technician and Community Director for Zignals.com. I offer a range of stock trading strategies for global markets which can be Previewed for Free with delayed trade signals. You can also view the top-10 best trading strategies for the US, UK, Europe and Rest-of-the-World in the Trading Strategy Marketplace Leaderboard. The Leaderboard also supports advanced search capability so you can tailor your strategies to suit your individual requirements.


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