Sunday, November 12, 2006

Stockcharts.com: Weekly review

After a 1 week hiatus, how are the public listers rating the market now?

Joe Reed hadn't much to add to my earlier review of his charts. However, he has a new chart highlighting the convergence of indices into a potential top; perhaps similar to how converges of the indices in August 2004, April 2005 and June 2006 marked bottoms?



He has also pointed to a convergence of tops in the RSI and Ultimate Oscillator of the Dow (but haven't we all!).



Mitchell Meana has taken a more optimistic view; he is looking at a potential fifth wave rally up for the Qs/Nasdaq 100:




With a crude head-and-shoulder reversal in the Nasdaq:



His bullish count extends to large and small caps (note declining volume in the IWM as it makes each new high - this could throw a spanner in the works for the bull count):




Joe Reed focused on the Energy Select SPDR (XLE); he highlights the action the ETF suffered during August when it traded at resistance and how it is repeating itself now. Further information is available at his website:



and a similar view for GLD:



He has also marked support/resistance on the 30-min Qs chart:



With the Russell 2000 stuck at resistance:



Perhaps his PnF chart for the Nasdaq and its upside target of 2,540 will provide some support to Mitchell's fifth wave run?



Robert New has stuck to his cup-and-handle prediction for the Nasdaq. The negative divergence in supporting technicals dominating the picture:



and is optimistic over the longer term:



In summary, the Stockcharters look to favor another leg of the rally before things turn sour. The bulk of the indices do trade at resistance, but a break of these levels cannot be excluded from the equation. Richard Lehman has 2 pages of intraday channels drawn for the indices which are worth checking out (this week's review was a little long to include them). Cautious optimism, perhaps?


 
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